[ quote author=JectWon date=1378914972]I'm amped as well. It might be one of the last PPV boxing events I care about for a long time...Friday Night Fights has been dope though.
My thoughts:
Canelo typically bulks up after the initial weigh in...sometimes putting on almost 20 pounds immediately after the official weigh-in. He typically takes on 154 pound fights and this one is at 152 due to the size difference between fighters...I think this is point to Canelo. May normally fights at 147 and below...might compliment the fact that he's aging but it also might take away that classic Mayweather speed.
::
I think the real deciding factor is going to be the boxing genius of Mayweather...it wins every time (exciting fight or not) and I simply don't think Alvarez has the discipline and experience needed to hang with the Champ....yet.
X-factor 1...Canelo might catch him. I don't think he'll outbox Mayweather but he could catch him. People have caught him before who aren't as good as Canelo is right now (Mayweather/Mosely round 2). If he catches Mayweather, I suspect he's an opponent with the biggest chance of being able to take real advantage of that and go for the kill.
X-factor 2 and 3...Mayweather hasn't been in a significant fight in a looooooong time...also his age.
At the end of the day, Mayweather is a boxing genius anything he sacrifices/loses in the size difference, his age, the young kid's power, etc...he will compensate for all those things with the appropriate boxing approach at the appropriate time because that is simply what he does.
Smart money: Boring fight (for people who don't enjoy watching Mayweather do his thing) where Mayweather turtles every flurry of activity from the Kid. Canelo will have some brief moments where he gets the crowd into it (but the slow-mo-after-round-replay will show that Mayweather's Philly Roll style deflected virtually all shots), eventually the Kid will get frustrated (as all mortal Mayweather opponents do) and Mayweather will make him pay but Canelo won't go down once. END RESULT: Unanimous Decision to Mayweather.
....butCanelocouldcatchem'...justsayin'